Chapecoense 2-0 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.08
2-3 Goals
34%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
6.18
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.16/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.94
-30% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
23.6 Crosses 22.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Amazonas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.66 xG 1.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
274 Passes 407
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.06.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 0-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
2-0
AWAY Amazonas
0.62 xG 0.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
259 Passes 399
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense beat Amazonas 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chapecoense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chapecoense had 42% of the ball to Amazonas's 58%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 0.62 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Amazonas?

Chapecoense 2-0 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 43%, draw 30%, Amazonas 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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