Dire Dawa Kenema 1-3 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Jun 2025

📅03/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 24%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.43
-8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
6 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 6
03.02.2025 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
1-3
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni got the better of Dire Dawa Kenema 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dire Dawa Kenema at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 56% of the ball to Welwalo Adigrat Uni's 44%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Dire Dawa Kenema 1-3 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dire Dawa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 41%, draw 27%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
3 Jun 2025
18:00 Ethiopian Insurance vs Kedus Giorgis Analysis →