Boston River 3-2 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 Jun 2025

📅03/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.39/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.99
+21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Juventud
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.04.2025 Juventud Juventud 4-1 HT 3-1 Boston River Boston River URU
06.11.2019 Boston River Boston River 2-1 HT 0-1 Juventud Juventud URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
3-2
AWAY Juventud
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River squeezed past Juventud 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Juventud at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston River had 45% of the ball to Juventud's 55%, shots finished 7-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Boston River and 2.50 for Juventud.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Juventud?

Boston River 3-2 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Boston River 28%, draw 30%, Juventud 42%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventud) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →