Vikingur R. 1-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
3.11/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.70
+20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stjarnan
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.08 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
363 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
06.04.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
02.10.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
24.06.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 2-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
10.04.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
16.02.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
1-1
AWAY Stjarnan
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. and Stjarnan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vikingur R. at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 59% of the ball to Stjarnan's 41%, shots finished 21-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Vikingur R. and 0.67 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan?

Vikingur R. 1-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 49%, draw 27%, Stjarnan 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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