Brezilya 1-1 Kolombiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa America, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.59
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.65
1/2
6%
49.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
9%
4.22
X/2
8%
8.05
X/X
15%
3.91
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
13%
6.63
2/X
4%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 26%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/0.00
-100% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kolombiya
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 0.82
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
494 Passes 287
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 Kolombiya Kolombiya 2-1 HT 0-1 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
12.11.2021 Brezilya Brezilya 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
11.10.2021 Kolombiya Kolombiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
24.06.2021 Brezilya Brezilya 2-1 HT 0-1 Kolombiya Kolombiya AKU
07.09.2019 Brezilya Brezilya 2-2 HT 1-2 Kolombiya Kolombiya HAZ
05.09.2017 Kolombiya Kolombiya 1-1 HT 0-1 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya
1-1
AWAY Kolombiya
0.29 xG 1.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
343 Passes 337
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brezilya vs Kolombiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya and Kolombiya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brezilya at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brezilya had 51% of the ball to Kolombiya's 49%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.29 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brezilya had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brezilya and 1.00 for Kolombiya.

What was the final score of Brezilya vs Kolombiya?

Brezilya 1-1 Kolombiya in the Copa America on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya vs Kolombiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brezilya 47%, draw 25%, Kolombiya 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brezilya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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