Kosta Rika 2-1 Paraguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa America, 3 Jul 2024

Kosta Rika
2-1 HT 2-0
Paraguay
📅03/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Copa America – 2024

Kosta Rika vs Paraguay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.67
Over 2.5
34%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.39
6+ Goals
6%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 42% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
6.89
1/2
3%
27.5
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
11%
8.26
X/2
22%
3.98
X/X
21%
4.25
2/1
6%
51.0
2/2
19%
2.5
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-0.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.8pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kosta Rika v Paraguay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosta Rika EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -59%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kosta Rika vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kosta Rika
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Paraguay
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
The Meetings
27.03.2015 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 0-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
06.03.2014 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 2-1 HT 1-0 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
12.08.2010 Paraguay Paraguay 2-0 HT 1-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika HAZ

Kosta Rika 2-1 Paraguay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosta Rika
2-1
AWAY Paraguay
0.40 xG 1.20
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
172 Passes 435
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
4 Box Touches 17
3 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kosta Rika vs Paraguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosta Rika squeezed past Paraguay 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paraguay at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kosta Rika had 33% of the ball to Paraguay's 67%, shots finished 2-17, expected goals 0.40 to 1.20 — on chances, Paraguay could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kosta Rika and 1.00 for Paraguay.

What was the final score of Kosta Rika vs Paraguay?

Kosta Rika 2-1 Paraguay in the Copa America on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosta Rika vs Paraguay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paraguay win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 22%, draw 33%, Paraguay 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paraguay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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