Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia Super Cup, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.81
No
64%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
33%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
51%
-15.5pp
64%
BTTS No
49%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ -100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
10.03.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
24.11.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
16.09.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
24.05.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
08.04.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1-2
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 59% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 41%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.00 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia Super Cup on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 28%, draw 30%, Torpedo Kutaisi 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GURCSK More Georgia Super Cup
3 Jul 2024
19:00 Dinamo Batumi vs Iberia Analysis →