Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
28%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.0pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.7pp
28%
Away Win
39%
-10.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +17%
0.53/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.77
-57% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
16.09.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
24.05.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
08.04.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
02.10.2022 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
25.06.2022 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 5-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1-0
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi edged past Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Tbilisi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 47% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 53%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.17 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 40%, draw 32%, Torpedo Kutaisi 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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