Black Rock 0-1 Western Mass Pioneers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
27%
7.78
Away
54%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.17
Over 2.5
53%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
8%
+10.5pp
28%
Draw
11%
+17.0pp
54%
Away Win
81%
-27.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Black Rock EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Mass Pioneers EU Bookmakers 85%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.84/1.00
-100% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Black Rock
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Western Mass Pioneers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 12
0 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.06.2024 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 5-0 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
04.06.2023 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 0-0 HT 0-0 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Black Rock
0-1
AWAY Western Mass Pioneers
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Black Rock vs Western Mass Pioneers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Mass Pioneers nicked a narrow win over Black Rock 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Western Mass Pioneers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Black Rock had 41% of the ball to Western Mass Pioneers's 59%, shots finished 4-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Western Mass Pioneers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Black Rock and 2.50 for Western Mass Pioneers.

What was the final score of Black Rock vs Western Mass Pioneers?

Black Rock 0-1 Western Mass Pioneers in the USA - USL League 2 on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Black Rock vs Western Mass Pioneers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Mass Pioneers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Black Rock 19%, draw 28%, Western Mass Pioneers 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Mass Pioneers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western Mass Pioneers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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