Keflavik vs UMF Selfoss Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Keflavik v UMF Selfoss — Team-Based Signals
Keflavik vs UMF Selfoss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
UMF Selfoss
İZLK
2-1
HT 1-0
Keflavik
İZL
2-2
HT 1-0
UMF Selfoss
İZL
3-2
HT 0-2
Keflavik
İZL
2-1
HT 1-1
UMF Selfoss
İZL
Keflavik squeezed past UMF Selfoss 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Keflavik and 1.33 for UMF Selfoss.
What was the final score of Keflavik vs UMF Selfoss?
Keflavik 3-2 UMF Selfoss in the Iceland - 1st Division on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Keflavik vs UMF Selfoss?
Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 51%, draw 19%, UMF Selfoss 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.