Thor Akureyri 1-2 Throttur Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
2.00/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.80
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
352 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.07.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
03.05.2024 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
16.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
10.06.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 3-0 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
18.09.2021 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-3 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
09.07.2021 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 5-1 HT 2-1 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Throttur Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Reykjavik squeezed past Thor Akureyri 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Thor Akureyri at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thor Akureyri had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thor Akureyri and 1.50 for Throttur Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Thor Akureyri 1-2 Throttur Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 45%, draw 26%, Throttur Reykjavik 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thor Akureyri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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