La Serena 4-1 San Luis De Quillota — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY San Luis De Quillota EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
287 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
2W-1D-3L
AWAY San Luis De Quillota
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 0.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 Passes 368
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2025 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota 3-1 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİK
20.05.2023 La Serena La Serena 2-2 HT 1-1 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİLİB
05.10.2019 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota 0-3 HT 0-2 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİB
19.04.2015 La Serena La Serena 1-2 HT 0-1 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİLİB
04.01.2015 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota 2-1 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİB
26.04.2014 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 1-0 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
4-1
AWAY San Luis De Quillota
66% Ball Possession 34%
31 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
474 Passes 194
90% Pass Accuracy 68%
POST-MATCH La Serena vs San Luis De Quillota
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena swept aside San Luis De Quillota 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had La Serena as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Serena had 66% of the ball to San Luis De Quillota's 34%, shots finished 31-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Luis De Quillota led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for La Serena and 1.50 for San Luis De Quillota.

What was the final score of La Serena vs San Luis De Quillota?

La Serena 4-1 San Luis De Quillota in the Chile - Cup on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs San Luis De Quillota?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split La Serena 46%, draw 28%, San Luis De Quillota 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Serena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Serena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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