AEgir 2-4 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 3 Jul 2026

AEgir
2-4 HT 1-4
Fylkir
📅03/07/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.4
Draw
12%
4.81
Away
75%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
47%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
15%
-2.2pp
12%
Draw
18%
-5.2pp
75%
Away Win
67%
+7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 72%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.67/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.84
+37% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +47%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEgir
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Fylkir
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2026 Fylkir Fylkir 3-0 HT 0-0 AEgir AEgir İZL1
14.07.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 4-1 HT 1-0 AEgir AEgir İZL1
26.06.2022 AEgir AEgir 1-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZK
13.05.2022 AEgir AEgir 1-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
POST-MATCH AEgir vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir got the better of AEgir 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fylkir as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fylkir led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for AEgir and 2.00 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of AEgir vs Fylkir?

AEgir 2-4 Fylkir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split AEgir 13%, draw 12%, Fylkir 75%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fylkir), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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