Fylkir 3-0 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2026

Fylkir
3-0 HT 0-0
AEgir
📅24/04/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
74%
-4.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.1pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.2pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir EU Bookmakers 14%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.48/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/3.50
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
479 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
1W-1D-1L
AWAY AEgir
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.07.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 4-1 HT 1-0 AEgir AEgir İZL1
26.06.2022 AEgir AEgir 1-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZK
13.05.2022 AEgir AEgir 1-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir swept aside AEgir 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fylkir as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fylkir and 1.00 for AEgir.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs AEgir?

Fylkir 3-0 AEgir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 70%, draw 18%, AEgir 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fylkir), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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