Afturelding 4-7 IR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2026

📅24/04/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.6pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.39/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.33
+18% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
1W-0D-2L
AWAY IR Reykjavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2025 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 3-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
14.09.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 3-0 HT 2-0 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
04.07.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 3-0 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs IR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik ran out comfortable winners over Afturelding 7-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Afturelding at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, IR Reykjavik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Afturelding and 2.00 for IR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs IR Reykjavik?

Afturelding 4-7 IR Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 24/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs IR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 44%, draw 24%, IR Reykjavik 32%. The final score 4-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Afturelding), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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