IR Reykjavik 3-1 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.7pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.5pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IR Reykjavik
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Afturelding
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 3-0 HT 2-0 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
04.07.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 3-0 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik beat Afturelding 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Afturelding at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IR Reykjavik and 1.50 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

IR Reykjavik 3-1 Afturelding in the Iceland - League Cup on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 26%, draw 20%, Afturelding 54%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afturelding) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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