IR Reykjavik 3-0 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.0pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 53%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.00/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.39
+25% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik cruised past Afturelding 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Afturelding at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

IR Reykjavik 3-0 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 29%, draw 21%, Afturelding 50%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Afturelding), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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