Fjölnir 0-0 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.14
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.6pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 37%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.25/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.99
+27% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Keflavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-5 HT 1-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
08.08.2018 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
18.05.2018 Keflavik Keflavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
10.08.2015 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
20.05.2015 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
25.08.2014 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-1 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fjölnir
0-0
AWAY Keflavik
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir and Keflavik played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fjölnir at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fjölnir had 50% of the ball to Keflavik's 50%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fjölnir and 1.33 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Keflavik?

Fjölnir 0-0 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 50%, draw 21%, Keflavik 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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