Thor Akureyri 3-1 Grotta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.3pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Grotta EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
2.66/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.84
-5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Grotta
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2023 Grotta Grotta 1-0 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
25.07.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-1 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
23.08.2022 Grotta Grotta 1-0 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
16.06.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
23.07.2021 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 4-2 HT 3-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
07.05.2021 Grotta Grotta 4-3 HT 1-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Grotta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri beat Grotta 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thor Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grotta led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thor Akureyri and 1.67 for Grotta.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Grotta?

Thor Akureyri 3-1 Grotta in the Iceland - 1st Division on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Grotta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 55%, draw 23%, Grotta 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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