Safa 4-0 Al Mabarrah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.15
Over 2.5
41%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.0pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
43%
+16.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
57%
-16.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mabarrah EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.73/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/3.39
+20% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Safa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Mabarrah
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.12.2025 Al Mabarrah Al Mabarrah 1-0 HT 0-0 Safa Safa LUBN
POST-MATCH Safa vs Al Mabarrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa swept aside Al Mabarrah 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Safa vs Al Mabarrah?

Safa 4-0 Al Mabarrah in the Lebanon - Premier League on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Al Mabarrah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Safa 63%, draw 24%, Al Mabarrah 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Safa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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