03/07/2026
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Safa vs Al Mabarrah Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
24%
Draw
19%
13%
Away Win
12%
59%
Under 2.5
43%
41%
Over 2.5
57%
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
52%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Safa v Al Mabarrah — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Safa
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Mabarrah
EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-15%
2.73/0.45
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.56/3.39
+20%
/
+13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+3%
/
-36%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
368 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
269 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
0.4
Safa vs Al Mabarrah Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Safa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al Mabarrah
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Safa vs Al Mabarrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Safa swept aside Al Mabarrah 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Safa vs Al Mabarrah?
Safa 4-0 Al Mabarrah in the Lebanon - Premier League on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Safa vs Al Mabarrah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Safa 63%, draw 24%, Al Mabarrah 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Safa)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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LUBN
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3 Jul 2026