Al Mabarrah 1-0 Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 25 Dec 2025

📅25/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
29%
X/X
26%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
23%
-7.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.2pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mabarrah EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Safa EU Bookmakers 56%
+66% / +66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+150% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Mabarrah vs Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mabarrah nicked a narrow win over Safa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Safa at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Mabarrah vs Safa?

Al Mabarrah 1-0 Safa in the Lebanon - Premier League on 25/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mabarrah vs Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Mabarrah 15%, draw 31%, Safa 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Safa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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