Bourj 1-4 Al Ahed — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Lebanon - Premier League, 25 Dec 2025

Bourj Elo 1364 · World #2536 (clubs) LLLWW→
1 - 4 HT 0 - 1
Al Ahed Elo 1479 · World #1686 (clubs) LWLWL→
📅25/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2025/2026

Bourj vs Al Ahed Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 14:02
Match Result
Home
10%
7.14
Draw
19%
4.36
AwayVIEW
71%
1.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.03
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.97
No
51%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
45%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
1%
2/2
46%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Bourj v Al Ahed — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bourj The Market 14%
Signal
AWAY Al Ahed The Market 72%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.60 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.30
2.06 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
Bad Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Bad
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
208 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3

Bourj vs Al Ahed Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourj
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ahed
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Bourj Bourj 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
REVIEW Bourj vs Al Ahed
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Ahed swept aside Bourj 4-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (56%) landed.

Bourj vs Al Ahed Result & Final Score

Bourj 1 - 4 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 25/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bourj vs Al Ahed Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Bourj 10%, draw 19%, Al Ahed 71%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
25 Dec 2025
15:15 Al Mabarrah vs Safa Analysis →