Bourj 1-3 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
55%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.6pp
55%
Away Win
56%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourj EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bourj vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed got the better of Bourj 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Bourj vs Al Ahed?

Bourj 1-3 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourj vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bourj 24%, draw 21%, Al Ahed 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Over 2.5
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