21/09/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Safa vs Racing Beirut Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
31%
Draw
26%
29%
Away Win
26%
61%
Under 2.5
51%
39%
Over 2.5
49%
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
53%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Safa v Racing Beirut — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Safa
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Racing Beirut
EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
370 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
317 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Safa vs Racing Beirut
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Safa ran out comfortable winners over Racing Beirut 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Safa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Safa vs Racing Beirut?
Safa 4-1 Racing Beirut in the Lebanon - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Safa vs Racing Beirut?
Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Safa 40%, draw 31%, Racing Beirut 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Safa)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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LUBN
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21 Sep 2024