Stenungsund 1-0 Säffle SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.4pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Säffle SK EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.78/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.24
-16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Säffle SK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2024 Säffle SK Säffle SK 0-2 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
13.08.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 4-1 HT 2-0 Säffle SK Säffle SK İSÇ4
15.04.2023 Säffle SK Säffle SK 1-3 HT 0-2 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
07.08.2022 Säffle SK Säffle SK 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
15.04.2022 Stenungsund Stenungsund 0-4 HT 0-2 Säffle SK Säffle SK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stenungsund
1-0
AWAY Säffle SK
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs Säffle SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund edged past Säffle SK 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stenungsund as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Stenungsund had 51% of the ball to Säffle SK's 49%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stenungsund had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stenungsund and 1.20 for Säffle SK.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs Säffle SK?

Stenungsund 1-0 Säffle SK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs Säffle SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 59%, draw 21%, Säffle SK 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenungsund), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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