Bergnäsets 2-1 Kiruna FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
79%
-8.7pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.8pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiruna FF EU Bookmakers 11%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/2.78
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
441 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergnäsets
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Kiruna FF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
28.03.2024 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 0-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
07.10.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 5-1 HT 1-1 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
22.06.2023 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 2-1 HT 1-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
20.08.2022 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 2-1 HT 0-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
30.04.2022 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-3 HT 1-1 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergnäsets vs Kiruna FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets edged past Kiruna FF 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bergnäsets as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kiruna FF led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bergnäsets and 1.60 for Kiruna FF.

What was the final score of Bergnäsets vs Kiruna FF?

Bergnäsets 2-1 Kiruna FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergnäsets vs Kiruna FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergnäsets win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Bergnäsets 71%, draw 18%, Kiruna FF 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergnäsets), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bergnäsets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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