Kiruna FF 0-1 Bergnäsets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiruna FF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kiruna FF
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Bergnäsets
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
07.10.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 5-1 HT 1-1 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
22.06.2023 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 2-1 HT 1-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
20.08.2022 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 2-1 HT 0-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
30.04.2022 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-3 HT 1-1 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Kiruna FF vs Bergnäsets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets squeezed past Kiruna FF 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bergnäsets found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kiruna FF had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kiruna FF and 2.25 for Bergnäsets.

What was the final score of Kiruna FF vs Bergnäsets?

Kiruna FF 0-1 Bergnäsets in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiruna FF vs Bergnäsets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bergnäsets win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kiruna FF 36%, draw 25%, Bergnäsets 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergnäsets), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bergnäsets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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