Landvetter IS 2-3 Vastra Frolunda IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.38
Over 2.5
68%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.46
No
33%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
40%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-7.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
38%
-5.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
62%
+5.9pp
67%
BTTS Yes
64%
+2.8pp
33%
BTTS No
36%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Landvetter IS EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 45%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
0.80/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
-53% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Landvetter IS
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 4-1 HT 1-1 Landvetter IS Landvetter IS İSÇ4
16.06.2023 Landvetter IS Landvetter IS 1-2 HT 1-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
30.09.2022 Landvetter IS Landvetter IS 0-1 HT 0-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Landvetter IS vs Vastra Frolunda IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vastra Frolunda IF squeezed past Landvetter IS 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Vastra Frolunda IF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vastra Frolunda IF led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Landvetter IS and 2.33 for Vastra Frolunda IF.

What was the final score of Landvetter IS vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Landvetter IS 2-3 Vastra Frolunda IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Landvetter IS vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Landvetter IS win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Landvetter IS 38%, draw 29%, Vastra Frolunda IF 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Landvetter IS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Landvetter IS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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