Coquimbo Unido 2-2 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.3pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -3%
1.16/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.51
-1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.2 Crosses 22.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coquimbo Unido
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.43
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
196 Passes 377
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 1-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
08.10.2023 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 3-1 HT 2-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
24.04.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-0 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
30.10.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-3 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
21.05.2022 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-4 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
27.01.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-1 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coquimbo Unido
2-2
AWAY Union Espanola
2.44 xG 2.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
234 Passes 382
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Coquimbo Unido vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido and Union Espanola shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Coquimbo Unido at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coquimbo Unido had 42% of the ball to Union Espanola's 58%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.44 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coquimbo Unido and 1.50 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Coquimbo Unido vs Union Espanola?

Coquimbo Unido 2-2 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coquimbo Unido vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coquimbo Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Coquimbo Unido 45%, draw 25%, Union Espanola 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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