Köln II 5-0 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.9pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.56/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.58
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Köln II Köln II 1-0 HT 1-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
25.10.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 3-1 HT 1-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln II
5-0
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Köln II vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln II ran out comfortable winners over Paderborn 07 II 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Köln II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Köln II had 55% of the ball to Paderborn 07 II's 45%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Köln II and 1.50 for Paderborn 07 II.

What was the final score of Köln II vs Paderborn 07 II?

Köln II 5-0 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln II vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Köln II 41%, draw 25%, Paderborn 07 II 33%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Köln II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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