MSV Duisburg 5-0 Türkspor Dortmund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.29
Over
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
43%
4-5
28%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.8pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkspor Dortmund The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
5-0
AWAY Türkspor Dortmund
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Türkspor Dortmund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg ran out comfortable winners over Türkspor Dortmund 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MSV Duisburg had 43% of the ball to Türkspor Dortmund's 57%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Türkspor Dortmund?

MSV Duisburg 5-0 Türkspor Dortmund in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Türkspor Dortmund?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 47%, draw 29%, Türkspor Dortmund 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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