Rödinghausen 3-2 Wiedenbrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
58%
-16.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rödinghausen The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Wiedenbrück The Market 21%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +0%
1.84/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.63
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rödinghausen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wiedenbrück
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 0-3 HT 0-1 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
13.10.2023 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 1-0 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
14.04.2023 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 2-0 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
21.10.2022 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 1-1 HT 1-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
11.03.2022 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 1-2 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
01.10.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rödinghausen vs Wiedenbrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rödinghausen nicked a narrow win over Wiedenbrück 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rödinghausen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rödinghausen and 1.00 for Wiedenbrück.

What was the final score of Rödinghausen vs Wiedenbrück?

Rödinghausen 3-2 Wiedenbrück in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rödinghausen vs Wiedenbrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rödinghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rödinghausen 42%, draw 28%, Wiedenbrück 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rödinghausen) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rödinghausen) ✗ Under 2.5
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