Schwaben Augsburg 3-2 Vilzing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+7.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.3pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilzing EU Bookmakers 48%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.76
+47% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +67%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
233 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schwaben Augsburg
3-2
AWAY Vilzing
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Schwaben Augsburg vs Vilzing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schwaben Augsburg squeezed past Vilzing 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Schwaben Augsburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Schwaben Augsburg had 50% of the ball to Vilzing's 50%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Schwaben Augsburg vs Vilzing?

Schwaben Augsburg 3-2 Vilzing in the Germany - Regional League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schwaben Augsburg vs Vilzing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vilzing win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Schwaben Augsburg 39%, draw 21%, Vilzing 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Vilzing), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vilzing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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