Bayern München U19 5-2 Greuther Fürth U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-14.1pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth U19 EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Greuther Fürth U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.06 xG 0.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 234
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
27.04.2024 Greuther Fürth U19 Greuther Fürth U19 0-3 HT 0-1 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München U19
5-2
AWAY Greuther Fürth U19
3.39 xG 1.10
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 8
16 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
434 Passes 197
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bayern München U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München U19 ran out comfortable winners over Greuther Fürth U19 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern München U19 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bayern München U19 had 65% of the ball to Greuther Fürth U19's 35%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 3.39 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Bayern München U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19?

Bayern München U19 5-2 Greuther Fürth U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bayern München U19 55%, draw 19%, Greuther Fürth U19 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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