Greuther Fürth U19 0-3 Bayern München U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
50%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
27%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
20%
+6.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-9.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.2pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth U19 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 64%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.35/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/1.00
-73% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth U19
0-3
AWAY Bayern München U19
0.82 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
234 Passes 279
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth U19 vs Bayern München U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München U19 swept aside Greuther Fürth U19 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern München U19 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Greuther Fürth U19 had 47% of the ball to Bayern München U19's 53%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.82 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Greuther Fürth U19 0-3 Bayern München U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth U19 27%, draw 22%, Bayern München U19 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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