Carl Zeiss Jena U19 3-6 St. Pauli U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena U19 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli U19 EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +62%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena U19
3-6
AWAY St. Pauli U19
29% Ball Possession 71%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs St. Pauli U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli U19 swept aside Carl Zeiss Jena U19 6-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pauli U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena U19 had 29% of the ball to St. Pauli U19's 71%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs St. Pauli U19?

Carl Zeiss Jena U19 3-6 St. Pauli U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs St. Pauli U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pauli U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena U19 36%, draw 21%, St. Pauli U19 43%. The final score 3-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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