Sturm Graz II 0-0 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.15
Over
47%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.51
No
53%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
28%
4.31
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
23%
2.98
6+
9%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.31 — our 28% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.48
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
20%
5.79
X/2
10%
6.02
X/X
8%
4.99
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.69
2/X
12%
12.0
Value flag · X/1 at 5.79 — our 20% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Sturm Graz II The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz The Market 39%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.69 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 3.48
1.53 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.00
Average Attackvs comparable teams Great
Average Defensevs comparable teams
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bregenz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
68% Ball Possession 32%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
06.04.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 3-3 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
17.09.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-2 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
REVIEW Sturm Graz II vs Bregenz
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sturm Graz II and Bregenz cancelled each other out in a 0-0. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.

The preview numbers (37% / 27% / 36%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 47% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.51, roughly 66%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bregenz led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Sturm Graz II against 2.50 for Bregenz.

Sturm Graz II vs Bregenz Result & Final Score

Sturm Graz II 0-0 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sturm Graz II vs Bregenz Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 37%, draw 27%, Bregenz 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sturm Graz II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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