Bregenz 3-3 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.07
Over
51%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.59
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.91
2-3
38%
1.84
4-5
25%
3.16
6+
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.78
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.7
X/2
8%
6.98
X/X
8%
5.16
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
19%
4.81
2/X
8%
13.55
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Bregenz The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II The Market 32%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
0.99 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.29
2.04 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.17
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
17.09.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-2 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
REVIEW Bregenz vs Sturm Graz II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bregenz and Sturm Graz II traded blows to a 3-3 standstill. Half-time: 0-2. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

A gentle 43% lean on Bregenz didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (2.00, ~50%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.59, about 63%.

Bregenz vs Sturm Graz II Result & Final Score

Bregenz 3-3 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bregenz vs Sturm Graz II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bregenz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 43%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz II 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bregenz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bregenz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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