Grazer AK 1-1 Leoben — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.8
Over
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.13
2-3
36%
1.78
4-5
25%
3.75
6+
11%
15.9
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.75 — our 25% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.62
X/2
10%
6.67
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
18%
4.94
2/X
9%
13.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Grazer AK The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leoben The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
2.43 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.93
1.18 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.98
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
29.0 Crosses 21.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leoben
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2023 Leoben Leoben 1-2 HT 0-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
1-1
AWAY Leoben
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Grazer AK vs Leoben
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Grazer AK and Leoben couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 54%.

Under the surface, Grazer AK had 41% of the ball to Leoben's 59%, shots finished 6-6.

Grazer AK vs Leoben Result & Final Score

Grazer AK 1-1 Leoben in the Austria - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Grazer AK vs Leoben Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 38%, draw 28%, Leoben 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grazer AK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ BTTS Yes
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