Valentine Phoenix 3-0 Adamstown Rosebuds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.68
Over 2.5
64%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-14.5pp
18%
Draw
11%
+7.1pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 11%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/4.40
+21% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
479 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-3 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
20.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-3 HT 0-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
05.03.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-1 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
12.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-2 HT 0-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
19.03.2022 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 1-4 HT 1-3 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
17.04.2021 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 6-3 HT 3-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Adamstown Rosebuds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valentine Phoenix ran out comfortable winners over Adamstown Rosebuds 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valentine Phoenix as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valentine Phoenix had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 2.00 for Adamstown Rosebuds.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Valentine Phoenix 3-0 Adamstown Rosebuds in the Australia - Yeni South Wales on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valentine Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 66%, draw 18%, Adamstown Rosebuds 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valentine Phoenix), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valentine Phoenix) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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