Adamstown Rosebuds 0-3 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
60%
Away Win
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 66%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.58/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.00
+34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 472 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-3 HT 0-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
05.03.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-1 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
12.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-2 HT 0-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
19.03.2022 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 1-4 HT 1-3 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
17.04.2021 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 6-3 HT 3-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
26.09.2020 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 2-2 HT 1-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adamstown Rosebuds vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valentine Phoenix swept aside Adamstown Rosebuds 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valentine Phoenix as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Adamstown Rosebuds and 2.33 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of Adamstown Rosebuds vs Valentine Phoenix?

Adamstown Rosebuds 0-3 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adamstown Rosebuds vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valentine Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Adamstown Rosebuds 19%, draw 21%, Valentine Phoenix 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valentine Phoenix), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valentine Phoenix) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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