New Lambton FC 1-2 Maitland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.98
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
58%
Away Win
61%
-3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.1pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Maitland EU Bookmakers 66%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.89/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.88
-25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Lambton FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Maitland
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2023 Maitland Maitland 4-1 HT 4-1 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNSW
11.03.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 1-9 HT 0-3 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
POST-MATCH New Lambton FC vs Maitland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maitland nicked a narrow win over New Lambton FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maitland as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maitland led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New Lambton FC and 6.50 for Maitland.

What was the final score of New Lambton FC vs Maitland?

New Lambton FC 1-2 Maitland in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Lambton FC vs Maitland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maitland win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split New Lambton FC 19%, draw 23%, Maitland 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maitland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maitland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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