Redlands United 1-1 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.1pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Redlands United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.42/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.16
-24% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Redlands United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
226 Passes 297
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Redlands United Redlands United 3-0 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
13.05.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-0 HT 1-0 Redlands United Redlands United AVNPL
28.08.2021 Redlands United Redlands United 1-3 HT 1-2 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
08.11.2020 Redlands United Redlands United 4-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
30.08.2020 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-1 HT 1-1 Redlands United Redlands United AVNPL
29.05.2019 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-1 Redlands United Redlands United AVSQ
POST-MATCH Redlands United vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Redlands United and Brisbane Roar II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Redlands United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Redlands United and 1.00 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Redlands United vs Brisbane Roar II?

Redlands United 1-1 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Redlands United vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Redlands United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Redlands United 44%, draw 26%, Brisbane Roar II 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Redlands United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Redlands United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
9 Mar 2024
06:30 Edgeworth Eagles vs Lambton Jaffas Analysis →
06:30 Adamstown Rosebuds vs Valentine Phoenix Analysis →
06:30 New Lambton FC vs Maitland Analysis →
08:30 Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Olympic Analysis →
09:00 Cooks Hill United vs Broadmeadow Magic Analysis →
10:00 Port Melbourne vs Manningham United Blues Analysis →