Spartak Varna 3-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

Spartak Varna
3-0 HT 2-0
CSKA Sofia
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+11.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-11.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Varna v CSKA Sofia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 62%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/0.80
+150% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.03.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1

Spartak Varna 3-0 CSKA Sofia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
3-0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Varna cruised past CSKA Sofia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 39% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 61%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Spartak Varna 3-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 28%, draw 25%, CSKA Sofia 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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