Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 17%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.86/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.58
+76% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 2-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
22.10.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
14.04.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-2 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
5-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad cruised past Arda Kardzhali 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 56% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 44%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.33 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Arda Kardzhali?

Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 60%, draw 22%, Arda Kardzhali 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
3 Aug 2024
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