Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.25
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
76%
-16.8pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.6pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.23/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.81
+76% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
479 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 132 · 59%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
14.04.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-2 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2-0
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad beat Arda Kardzhali 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 63% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 37%, shots finished 25-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Arda Kardzhali?

Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 59%, draw 24%, Arda Kardzhali 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
15 Apr 2024
17:30 CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Analysis →