Aarhus Fremad 3-1 Ishoj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.56 — our 28% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ishoj EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Ishoj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad saw off Ishoj 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Ishoj?

Aarhus Fremad 3-1 Ishoj in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Ishoj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 49%, draw 26%, Ishoj 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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