Akademisk BK 1-1 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.21/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.57
+76% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Naestved
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
05.09.2021 Naestved Naestved 2-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
28.03.2021 Naestved Naestved 1-2 HT 1-1 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
13.09.2020 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK and Naestved couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Akademisk BK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Akademisk BK and 0.75 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Naestved?

Akademisk BK 1-1 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akademisk BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 42%, draw 24%, Naestved 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Akademisk BK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akademisk BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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