Midtjylland 2-0 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 3 Aug 2024

Midtjylland
2-0 HT 1-0
Aalborg
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Midtjylland vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.8
X/1
12%
3.93
X/2
7%
11.3
X/X
7%
6.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.2
2/2
10%
8.02
2/X
8%
16.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.2 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Midtjylland v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
2.01/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.76
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
418 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.6 Crosses 16.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Midtjylland vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aalborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 361
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.01.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-4 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg HAZ
21.05.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 0-2 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
14.04.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
06.03.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
04.09.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
08.05.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 1-2 HT 0-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN

Midtjylland 2-0 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
2-0
AWAY Aalborg
2.00 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
337 Passes 339
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland beat Aalborg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Midtjylland had 49% of the ball to Aalborg's 51%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.00 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Midtjylland and 1.33 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Aalborg?

Midtjylland 2-0 Aalborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 54%, draw 24%, Aalborg 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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