Midtjylland 1-4 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jan 2024

📅19/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
27%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.6
No
38%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-17.8pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
12%
+14.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.2pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 15%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.44/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+4% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +125%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
448 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 7.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aalborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.49 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 357
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 0-2 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
14.04.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
06.03.2023 Aalborg Aalborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
04.09.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
08.05.2022 Aalborg Aalborg 1-2 HT 0-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
18.04.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 2-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg swept aside Midtjylland 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Midtjylland at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Midtjylland and 0.67 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Aalborg?

Midtjylland 1-4 Aalborg in the Friendlies on 19/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 53%, draw 20%, Aalborg 27%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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